Chief Executive's business and strategy review

Dalton Philips, Chief Executive
Dalton Philips, Chief Executive

Chief Executive's business and strategy review

This has been Morrisons best year yet, with another good financial performance and growth ahead of the market. Customers were having a tough time, but we responded with a new M savers brand for budget conscious shoppers, promotions that customers understood, and industry leading service.

We know that 2012 will be tough, and we will be working hard to deliver even better value for our customers. At the same time, we have ambitious plans for the long term development of the business, through new supermarkets, convenience stores and the development of our multi-channel capabilities.

Turnover analysis
Like-for-like stores Other sales 2011/12 Total 2010/11 Total
In-store (£m) 13,112 324 13,436 12,937
Fuel (£m) 4,009 30 4,039 3,426
Other sales (£m) - 188 188 116
Total turnover (ex-vat) (£m) 17,121 542 17,663 16,479
In-store sales
Sales per square foot (£) 21.05 12.83 20.74 20.80
Customer numbers per week (m) 11.0 0.4 11.4 11.0
Customer spend (£) 22.82 17.69 22.67 22.67
Business and strategy review

2011/12 was another good year for Morrisons. Against the backdrop of a difficult environment for the consumer, our unique fresh, quality and value offer made Morrisons a natural destination and more customers visited our stores than ever before. We continued to improve our financial performance whilst investing for future growth.

Turnover growth

Total turnover was £17.7bn, an increase of £1.2bn (7%). Our store sales (excluding fuel) grew by 3.9% to £13.4bn, with a record 11.4m customers coming into our stores each week. Sales from new stores contributed 2.1% of our total growth. Like-for-like sales grew by 1.8%, customer numbers were up by 1.3% and average basket spend up 0.6%. Whilst sales growth was strongest in London and the South East, we were pleased with our sales performance in all regions of the country.

For the second year in a row, consumers were faced with increases in the price of oil, exacerbated by ongoing Sterling weaknesses. With unleaded prices at the pump up by 15.4p per litre and diesel increasing by 18.5p, motorists were paying an average of 15% more per litre at the pump than they did last year. The demand for fuel is relatively inelastic and, whilst motorists continue to use their cars in times of austerity, they take time to shop around for the best deals, such as our 'Fuel Brittania' programmes. As a result, our volume sales increased by 4.8%. Overall, like-for-like fuel sales were up 18% in the year.

Inflationary effects took their toll on disposable incomes during the year, with the unwelcome impact of high oil prices feeding through, not just at the petrol pumps, but also throughout the supply chain. Other core commodities increased in price too, adding to the pressure. Market prices for beef and lamb rose by 15% and 11% respectively over the year, and average wheat prices were up by 32%.‡ The increase in fuel prices alone reduced our customers' disposable income by some £600m, income that could otherwise have been spent in our stores. In this environment, consumers looked around for value and found it at Morrisons, where our sharp pricing, supported by innovative promotions, was welcomed by customers.

We maintain a prudent approach to adding new space to our estate and only approve investments that meet the required financial hurdle rate. As a result, our space opening programme, whilst being ahead of our published targets, was less, in relative terms, than our major competitors. Despite this, with good like-for-like sales, we maintained our market share.*

Throughout the year, we noted the rise of the 'professional shopper', with customers taking time to shop around and look very carefully at pricing and offers in order to search out value. This trend played to Morrisons strengths. Our value proposition of everyday low prices, coupled with industry leading offers, and the flexibility of our vertical integration enabled us to meet our customers' need for great fresh food at affordable prices. Offers such as our 49p produce deal and our two loaves of bread for £1 promotion helped our customers manage on tight budgets. The market remained highly promotional, and our innovative promotions such as 'Pay Day Price Crunch' and 'Morrisons Millions' really caught the mood of the nation.

A clear strategy is in place that is delivering our objectives

The strategy we have pursued, and the investment choices we have made, have set our business up to produce sustainable rates of growth.

Operating results
Summary income statement 2011/12
£m
2010/11
£m
Change
%
Turnover 17,663 16,479 7
Gross profit 1,217 1,148 6
Gross profit margin 6.9% 7.0% (0.1)
Other operating income 86 80 8
Administrative expenses (329) (323) 2
Underlying operating profit 974 905 8
Property transactions (1) (1) -
Operating profit 973 904 8
Operating profit margin 5.5% 5.5% -
Net finance charges (26) (30) (13)
Taxation (257) (242) (6)
Profit for the period 690 632 9

Gross profit grew by 6% to £1,217m during the year. The gross profit margin was 6.9%, a fall of 10bps against last year due to the increased proportion of low margin fuel sales in the mix this year. After cost of goods sold, the Group's two largest cost areas are store wages and distribution costs. We continued to manage costs and improve efficiency in both areas whilst maintaining excellent standards and customer service levels. As a result, we again improved our store labour costs relative to sales, with in-store labour productivity up by 2.9%. Distribution productivity improved by 4.3%, reflecting the benefits of the investment we have made in systems improvement.

Other operating income grew by 8% to £86m, primarily because of increased recycling credits.

Administrative expenses increased by 2%, well below the rate of profit and sales growth in the year. This reflects the strong cost control culture that exists throughout the business.

Although the operating margin of 5.5% was in line with the prior year's, the underlying result was an improvement of 20bps, after adjusting for the increased proportion of low margin fuel sales.

Market overview

The UK grocery market continues to operate in a very tough economic climate, with consumer confidence close to record lows during the year. In 2011, the market was worth £97bn, up by 4.2% on the previous year.* Whilst this appears to be solid growth, it should be noted that space growth was approximately 4%, a historically high figure. Within these figures, online grocery grew disproportionately, with 17% of UK adults buying food or groceries online, up from 10% three years ago. The convenience market, which is measured separately, grew 4.6% to £34bn in 2011, and is expected to continue growing at a faster rate than the traditional grocery market for some time to come.♥

Retail grocery volumes were flat in the year and it was inflation, averaging 5.5% through the year, which drove growth. CPI food inflation, as measured by the Office of National Statistics, was above 6% for much of the year but started to come down through the last quarter, reaching 3.4% in January 2012. Categories that saw particularly high inflation include oils and fats (10%), coffee and tea (10%), and meat (6%).‡

Value at the forefront of shoppers' minds

Household incomes were squeezed throughout 2011, due to the previously mentioned commodity and energy price pressures, and also as a result of the Government's fiscal measures, particularly the rise in VAT to 20%. Cost pressures ran well ahead of wage settlements, with the result that disposable incomes overall fell 2.3% in 2011. A general unease about current and future expectations for the economy and for personal finances also saw shoppers managing more closely to a budget.

As a result, pricing and overall value have become increasingly important factors in purchasing decisions. More shoppers now regard price as their first consideration when choosing between products, compared with a year ago, with almost seven out of ten now saying they make the majority of their grocery shopping decisions before they get to store. This is an increase of 40% since 2008. Promotions are increasingly important when shoppers are deciding which stores to shop at and what products to buy. 70% of shoppers say promotions play a very important role in determining which stores they shop in, compared to 64% of shoppers in December 2010.† The grocery retail market has responded to these customer needs through an increased weight of promotional activity on branded goods. Additionally, retailer own brand sales, which carry a lower average unit price, have been performing more strongly than branded products as shoppers look for ways to manage their expenditure.

♥ Source:IGD
† Source:IGD ShopperVista
* Source:Kantar World Panel
‡ Source: ONS/Economic & Fiscal Outlook, OBR, November 2011
Strategy

In 2010, we outlined our vision to make Morrisons 'Different and Better than Ever'. We are proud of what makes us different - a distinctive offer to customers centred around fresh food, craft skills and vertical integration through our manufacturing business; the way we lead and support our colleagues; and our unique heritage. Being 'different' means building on these advantages, which set us apart from all our competitors and position us to win. Being 'better than ever' is about improving the way we do business - doing more of the things that matter for our customers - making great food, offering outstanding service and being more efficient so we can pass on the best savings possible. It also means seizing opportunities to grow the business profitably through new formats, channels and categories, to meet more of our existing customers' needs and to reach new customers.

We have developed a clear set of strategic objectives to deliver our vision and strategy, these along with our 2011/12 initiatives are set out from our homepage. KPIs and the risks to achieving our vision are set out in our KPI section.

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Operational highlights

Customer numbers

up 0.4m per week

Market share

12.8%*

Stores opened (including one replacement)

37

Gross profit

£1,217m up 6%

Average basket spend

£22.67

Our strategy reflects our view of how the market will evolve, what will be most appealing to our customers and how we make best use of our internal capabilities. It is based on six convictions about the type of business that our customers want us to be.

  • 1 – Food focused not generalist

    We want to be the number one destination in the UK for fresh food at outstanding value for money. Fresh food is at the heart of the supermarket shopping experience and customers are seeking freshness, quality and provenance at great value as well as becoming more conscious about healthy eating.

    Our manufacturing capabilities, unique craft skills, in-store food preparation, flexible supply chain and farming links all give us competitive advantage. We will continue to build on these to create a unique shopping experience offering customers the best fresh food in the UK, unrivalled value for money and fantastic service.

  • 2 – Experiential over purely functional

    Customers are seeking a deeper engagement with food and food shopping and moving away from a purely functional experience. They want to see, touch and smell the food. We want it to look different and feel different when customers shop at Morrisons.

  • 3 – Value is forever

    The world is changing but some things are for ever - value is one of them. This means offering an experience which is 'fun and frugal' through a combination of great range, quality and service, combined with great prices on everyday products and industry leading deals. We are already well known for delivering great value and we will keep this at the heart of our offer.

  • 4 – Skills not just drills

    Our great store colleagues are a competitive advantage we can build on. Customer experience is driven by friendly, knowledgeable service delivered through a skilled and engaged workforce who are all committed to offering customers a fantastic shopping experience.

  • 5 – General merchandise - clicks not bricks

    General merchandise is increasingly migrating online, and always from 'big box' supermarkets and the traditional high street. We believe therefore that the future for general merchandise is in 'clicks not bricks'.

  • 6 – Multi-format, multi-channel

    We will serve the evolving needs of our customers by expanding into new channels and formats, tailoring our offer to suit the needs of different customers.

    Better technology and busy lifestyles are changing the way customers shop. Different customers in different locations want different products. They shop using different channels, going online, via kiosks and on their smartphones, and also visit different formats, doing their weekly shop in larger stores, topping up in convenience stores and seeking out specific products or expertise in speciality stores. To serve more customers, more of the time, we need to be multi-format and multi-channel, tailoring our offer to suit the needs of different customers.

Fresh food with exceptional customer service is helping us be better than ever.
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